SP
Service Properties Trust (SVC)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 results were broadly in line with plan: total revenue was $435.2M, Adjusted EBITDAre was $115.8M, and Normalized FFO/share was $0.07; comparable hotel RevPAR rose 2.6% despite renovation disruption and softer demand late in the quarter .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, SVC posted a modest revenue beat (+1.0%) and a slight Primary EPS beat (−$0.48 actual vs −$0.52 est); S&P’s EBITDA “actual” was essentially in line (and sits below SVC’s Adjusted EBITDAre due to definitional differences). Expect limited estimate changes near-term [GetEstimates Q1 2025] .
- Portfolio optimization advanced: four hotels and three net lease assets sold ($22.7M) with additional hotels under agreement; management reiterated plans to sell roughly $1.1B of hotels in 2025 to delever, with the deck citing 123 hotels and management discussing ~125 hotels on the call .
- Liquidity and balance sheet remain focal points: quarter-end liquidity was ~$680M; net lease occupancy stayed high (97.8%) with healthy rent coverage (2.07x), supporting cash flow resiliency during lodging renovations and macro softness .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Comparable hotel RevPAR +2.6% YoY, outperforming the industry by ~40 bps; excluding eight hotels under renovation, RevPAR +3.7% YoY. Select service outperformed with strong Hyatt Place post-renovation traction (RevPAR +35% YoY at renovated hotels) .
- Net lease stability: 97.8% leased, 8-year WALT, and aggregate rent coverage at 2.07x; limited 2025 expirations (2.1% of minimum rents), reinforcing cash flow durability .
- Progress on portfolio optimization: 4 hotels and 3 net lease assets sold ($22.7M) and 4 more hotels under agreement ($26.5M); management reiterated the $1.1B hotel sale program and highlighted strong buyer demand with 4 awarded buyers for the 114 Sonesta hotel pool .
- Management quote: “SVC began the year with…a 2.6% increase in comparable hotel RevPAR…we…ended the quarter with over $680 million of liquidity. Our strategic focus remains on strengthening our balance sheet through asset sales and reinvesting in our hotels…” — CEO Chris Bilotto .
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What Went Wrong
- GAAP profitability remained pressured: net loss widened to $(116.4)M; net loss/share of $(0.70), driven by higher interest expense and $37.1M of impairment on 16 hotels .
- Hotel margins compressed: Adjusted Hotel EBITDA fell to $23.0M with a 6.9% margin; GOP margin for comparable hotels declined 330 bps YoY to 21.4%, reflecting renovation disruption and higher labor and utilities .
- Demand softness emerged intra-quarter: RevPAR decelerated from >2.5% in January to ~0.5% in March; April prelim was down ~1% YoY; government and international segments, plus reduced airline crew business, weighed on trends .
Financial Results
Segment revenue detail
Key KPIs (Company-Reported)
Consensus vs. Actuals (S&P Global; Q1 2025)
Note: S&P Global’s EBITDA/“Primary EPS” definitions differ from SVC’s Adjusted EBITDAre/GAAP EPS; SVC reported Adjusted EBITDAre of $115.8M for Q1 2025 . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy: “We are confident that our portfolio optimization initiatives, durable cash flows from our triple net lease assets and effective capital management will be significant drivers of long-term value creation.” — CEO Chris Bilotto .
- Lodging trends: “RevPAR softened as the quarter progressed…pullback in government and inbound international travel as well as airlines reducing flight commitments and crew business.” — CEO .
- Dispositions: “We plan to sell 125 hotels in 2025 for approximately $1.1 billion…portfolio awarded to four buyers…sales will be completed in phases over the next few quarters.” — CEO .
- Net lease: “Aggregate coverage…2.07x…nearly 98% leased…only 2.1% of minimum rents scheduled to expire in 2025.” — VP Jesse Abair .
- Q2 outlook: “Projecting second quarter RevPAR of $99 to $102 and adjusted hotel EBITDA of $69 million to $74 million…headwinds in travel and lodging…renovation revenue displacement.” — CFO Brian Donley .
Q&A Highlights
- Intra-quarter RevPAR cadence: ~+2.5% YoY in January, decelerating to ~+0.5% in March; April prelim −1% YoY, with expected ramp through Q2 .
- Demand mix: Government cancellations (
$2.5M) and airline crew pullback; group pace +6.5% ($9M) YoY provides offset . - Disposition timing: Majority of the 114-hotel Sonesta pool closing in phases across Q2–Q3; robust buyer interest and diligence driving timeline .
- Use of proceeds / balance sheet: Plan to address 2026 note maturities using asset-sale proceeds remains unchanged .
- Capex and tariffs: 2025 capex ~$250M; pricing largely locked for 2025 projects; pursuing sourcing and scope adjustments to mitigate tariff/supply-chain risk .
- Impairment context: Impairments tied to a subset of the 114-hotel pool where fair value < carrying value; overall expects net gain on sale when the full pool closes .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $435.2M actual vs $430.7M est (+1.0%), EBITDA $114.0M actual vs $114.0M est (in line), Primary EPS −$0.48 actual vs −$0.52 est (+$0.04*). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Note: S&P’s Primary EPS and EBITDA frameworks differ from SVC’s GAAP EPS and Adjusted EBITDAre. SVC reported Adjusted EBITDAre of $115.8M and net loss/share of $(0.70) for Q1 2025 . This definitional gap can drive differences between company-reported figures and S&P’s “actuals.”
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term: Results were steady against lowered expectations, but margins remain pressured by renovations and macro softness; Q2 guide embeds continued headwinds and ongoing displacement, arguing for conservative near-term estimates .
- Medium-term: The $1.1B hotel sale program (deck ~123; call ~125) is the key deleveraging catalyst; execution phasing into Q3 should be the main stock driver, alongside visibility on 2026 maturities .
- Mix shift: As the portfolio tilts toward net lease (high occupancy, long WALT, stable coverage), valuation could migrate toward net lease REIT peers, potentially improving the multiple over time if execution holds .
- Capital flexibility: New $45M VFN and existing ABS program highlight financing optionality from the net lease platform; proceed prudently with small, accretive retail acquisitions during the transition .
- Watchlist items: (1) Disposition closings/timing and realized proceeds, (2) RevPAR trajectory after April softness, (3) renovation completion and post-reno uplift, (4) net lease coverage trends, especially TA, and (5) tariff/supply chain impacts on capex and timing .
Additional Notes and References
- Dividend: $0.01/share quarterly distribution declared April 10, 2025 (payable ~May 15) .
- Liquidity & leverage: Liquidity ~$680M; net debt/TTM Adjusted EBITDAre 9.9x; rolling four-quarter interest coverage 1.5x .
- Dispositions executed in Q1: four hotels (514 keys) for $19.6M and three vacant net lease properties (103,043 sf) for $3.1M; additional four hotels under agreement for $26.5M .
Footnote on estimates: All items marked with an asterisk (*) are Values retrieved from S&P Global.